Stocks short selling and market liquidity analysis
Look back upon the development of Shanghai Stock Exchange; it is also from illiquid to liquid because of the regulations’ change. Actually this is a positive improvement in stock market’s internal efficiency.
In 2006, Chinese stock market was illiquidity which was caused by the market structure, trading mechanism and institutional as well as regulatory environment. SSE Innovation Lab pointed that it was important to carry active measures from these levels to improve the liquidity of the stock market.
Charles M. Jones and Owen A. Lamont (2002) use the United States from 1926 to 1933 during the stock market data research, found that short selling constraints (such as the direct costs of short selling, after the 1929 stock market crash against land sales empty political and legal pressure) make people want investors cannot short sell short stocks, which causes these stocks prices are overvalued, cannot be corrected, for the higher cost of short selling stocks, the price often Jiao their post-high yields are relatively low. General information on short selling after the announcement indicated that usually lead to stock prices, which show that the unprecedented sale of these shares, their shares overvalued there is a tendency, the introduction of short selling the stock to play their role in the adjustment so that stock can reflect their own inherent value of investments. Arturo Bris, William N. Goetzmann and Ning Zhu (2003) used the stock market data from 47 countries and Morck et al. (2000) proposed the method of short selling and market efficiency will be limited on individual stocks and market index return distribution characteristics impact, the results indicate that, under the premises of other factors are in control, allowing short selling and short selling constraints less of the securities in the market, the sectional mobility of Securities income appears to be more significant, which suggests that releasing short sale restrictions will increase the level of the market in the stock price discovery efficiency; in the market which does not allow short selling or short selling restricted securities, the distribution of individual stock returns are significantly non-negative partial form shows.
Liquidity can affect the prices of financial assets. An important factor is, often illiquid assets are worse than other similar transaction price and good assets, but the lower liquidity, we call these assets exist in the trading price of non-liquidity discount. Illiquid securities will bring many hazards: for the short term, low liquidity may leads to speculation and market manipulation, affects the proper pricing of securities, increases transaction costs of investors, restrictions on a market, affects the company’s governance and management, also increases the regulator’s monitoring costs; for the long term it will affect health and steady development of Chinese securities market and international competition. Illiquidity discount is from the initial concept of Amihud and Mendelson (1986), they proved that illiquid stocks will mainly be a relatively long holding period investors have. These stocks provide higher returns to investors to compensate for their lack of liquidity. And such high returns compared to those of liquidity through good stock, illiquid stock price in the other hand, there is an illiquidity discount to achieve. Longstaff in his series of studies (1995 & 2008) developed a point from Amihud and Meldenson (1986), even if the holding period is insignificant, this high discount is not in the nature of different asset investors is also possible. This is consistent with the characteristics of Chinese warrants market investment: investors and stock investors warrants overlap too much.
Firstly, from the level of market structure perspective, there are some aspects: first, improving the product mix, vigorously develop the spot market-based financial derivatives market, including stock index futures and options, stock futures and options, covered warrants and other structured products; second, encouraging institutional investors to improve the investor structure; third, speeding up companies (especially large companies) the pace of the domestic market, increasing the size of the market gradually driven from the capital investment in the transition to a value type, reducing the so-called ‘speculation’ and price manipulation; fourth, the stock market steadily advances the process of internationalization, speeds up the pace of the introduction of foreign investors, and when the time is ripe to allow foreign companies in domestic market, allow domestic exchanges set up trading terminals abroad; fifth is based, including Main Board and Second Board, three boards and counter transactions, including multi-level market, liquidity of securities of different varieties to provide a suitable trade channels. SSE recommends the introduction of day rotation trading system (T+0), different levels of implementation of differentiated market trading mechanisms to improve liquidity.
Secondly, from the trading system level, the SSE Innovation Lab proposals from the following aspects: first, the securities of different liquidity or board, second board, three panels of different levels of market trading mechanisms for the implementation of differentiated; second the introduction of market-making mechanism; third, to introduce a continuous call auction trading mechanism, increasing the cost of control or influence the price; four, days are the introduction of rotation trading system (T +0); five is the introduction of block trading orders, orders for many days and so effectively order forms; finally is the introduction of a wider coverage of the stock lending and short selling mechanism.#p#分页标题#e#
Third, from the market system and regulatory levels, it needs to gradually improve from the following aspects: First, the principle of moving towards market-oriented regulation of market innovation, encourage the relevant market participants where permitted by law and actively promote the markets and products innovation; Second, to further improve the regulatory system issue, and gradually released to the market-oriented registration system transition; Third, balance the relationship between market development and supervision, improve law enforcement and securities regulators investigating officers of proportion and professionalism, curb market speculation, strengthen and maintain the consistency of market regulation violations.
Anchada Charoenrook and Hazem Daouk (2003) used turnover as a measure of liquidity indicators, the study from 111 countries securities market found that with short selling constraints are more severe in emerging market countries, the stock market liquidity obviously to no short selling constraints than the developed markets lower. The study of Woolridge & Dickinson (1994) also showed that short traders in the market through an increase in the rising volume of short selling in a declining market to reduce the amount of short selling provides liquidity to the market. To some extent, short selling practice is indeed active in the stock market, led the overall market volume for the entire market liquidity.
|